The following tables have treatment in columns and strata in rows.
| cash | information | psychological | control | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 20 | 19 | 31 | 18 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 42 | 35 | 41 | 40 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 52 | 38 | 55 | 48 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 16 | 13 | 12 | 18 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 23 | 24 | 25 | 46 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 27 | 65 | 51 | 41 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 19 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 40 | 62 | 68 | 44 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 22 | 36 | 29 | 22 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 20 | 13 | 23 | 13 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 9 | 9 | 25 | 22 |
| cash | information | psychological | control | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| cash | information | psychological | control | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.00 | NaN | NaN | 0.00 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.11 | 0.43 | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.14 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| cash | information | psychological | control | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.07 | 0.19 | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| stratum | cash | information | psychological | control |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 0.27 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 0.46 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.13 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 0.49 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.39 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.19 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.72 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.03 | 0.19 | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.08 | 0.69 | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.22 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.54 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 0.15 | 0.48 | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.21 | 0.36 | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| stratum | cash | information | psychological | control |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 0.26 | 0.12 | 0.21 | 0.41 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.42 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 0.44 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.36 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.20 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.63 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.08 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.11 | 0.60 | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.22 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.48 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 0.17 | 0.43 | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.30 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.22 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| stratum | cash | information | psychological | control |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | (0.01, 0.12) | (0.00, 0.09) | (0.01, 0.10) | (0.02, 0.13) |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | (0.03, 0.12) | (0.02, 0.12) | (0.03, 0.13) | (0.04, 0.15) |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | (0.01, 0.15) | (0.00, 0.17) | (0.01, 0.16) | (0.02, 0.16) |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | (0.01, 0.14) | (0.00, 0.21) | (0.03, 0.20) | (0.03, 0.18) |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | (0.02, 0.09) | (0.00, 0.06) | (0.00, 0.07) | (0.01, 0.08) |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | (0.00, 0.10) | (0.00, 0.11) | (0.02, 0.16) | (0.02, 0.13) |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | (0.02, 0.22) | (0.00, 0.17) | (0.01, 0.14) | (0.02, 0.15) |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | (0.01, 0.15) | (0.00, 0.23) | (0.01, 0.19) | (0.02, 0.15) |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | (0.00, 0.09) | (0.00, 0.08) | (0.00, 0.09) | (0.04, 0.14) |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | (0.01, 0.10) | (0.04, 0.14) | (0.05, 0.18) | (0.06, 0.18) |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | (0.02, 0.16) | (0.06, 0.39) | (0.03, 0.25) | (0.02, 0.15) |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | (0.02, 0.12) | (0.00, 0.11) | (0.00, 0.10) | (0.03, 0.15) |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | (0.01, 0.09) | (0.03, 0.12) | (0.01, 0.08) | (0.01, 0.09) |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | (0.04, 0.18) | (0.03, 0.15) | (0.04, 0.16) | (0.03, 0.15) |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | (0.02, 0.12) | (0.01, 0.17) | (0.02, 0.11) | (0.01, 0.12) |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | (0.01, 0.11) | (0.00, 0.12) | (0.04, 0.17) | (0.03, 0.15) |
Comparison of the average potential outcomes for the actually chosen treatment assignment to the average that would have obtained under random assignment, \[\begin{align*} \Delta_1 &= \tfrac{1}{N} \sum_{i,t} \left ( \hat E\left [\theta^{D_{it} X_{it}} \right ] - \tfrac{1}{4} \sum_d \hat E\left [\theta^{d X_{it}}\right ] \right )\\ &=0.002 \end{align*}\]
Comparison of the optimal targeted policy, and the optimal non-targeted policy, to the default of (treatment \(0\)), \[\begin{align*} \Delta_2 &= \sum_x \left ( \max_d \hat E\left [\theta^{dx} \right ] - \hat E\left [\theta^{0x} \right ] \right ) p^x\\ &= 0.008, \\ \Delta_3 &= \max_d \sum_x \left (\hat E\left [\theta^{dx} \right ] - \hat E\left [\theta^{0x} \right ] \right ) p^x \\ &= 0. \end{align*}\]
95% credible sets: \[\begin{align*} \Delta_1: &\quad (0.00, 0.00)\\ \Delta_2: &\quad (-0.01, 0.03)\\ \Delta_3: &\quad (0.00, 0.00) \end{align*}\]
90% credible sets: \[\begin{align*} \Delta_1: &\quad (0.00, 0.00)\\ \Delta_2: &\quad (-0.01, 0.03)\\ \Delta_3: &\quad (0.00, 0.00) \end{align*}\]